
EURUSD May Remain Under Pressure in the Short Term
While the ZEW economic activity expectations index (Chart 1, orange line) announced from Europe has declined in recent months, NFIB Small Business Optimism index (Chart
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While the ZEW economic activity expectations index (Chart 1, orange line) announced from Europe has declined in recent months, NFIB Small Business Optimism index (Chart
The chart summarizes how the time series of 5-year inflation indexed return differential between the USD and Yen – displayed as the red line and
The fact that the pessimism caused by the expectations of a hard landing in the US is gradually diminishing has strengthened the expectations that the
Yesterday, UK data suggested that industrial production slowed down much faster than expected (Chart 1, purple line.) In addition, we saw service sector and gross
Yesterday’s OPEC report once again lowered the oil demand expectation for 2024. This expectation of OPEC is significantly reflected in the fundamental data of oil
It seems that the rises in the VIX index generally remain limited and weak in periods when the annual inflation differential announced from the US
Net long positions taken by funds in gold traded on the Chicago Commodity Exchange are at their fourth-highest level in more than 20 years (Chart
Following the release of inflation and employment data from the United States, which indicated an impending decline in interest rates by the Federal Reserve in
Economic data coming both from the UK and the US imply economic strength despite higher interest rates. With stronger than expected UK’s PMI data and
Gold has shifted above the 2000 mark amid rising geopolitical tensions, rising inflation, and expectations of possible rate cuts. However, the consistency of stronger economic
Weekly net positions of the speculator class and the 3-month volatility estimations both fall along with the crude oil. This is a clear indication that
EURUSD has been flirting with its 50-week moving average and not going anywhere as mixed expectations about the Fed’s policy and Euro Zone’s economic activity